Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3813.322847 4075.806026 4338.049905 4619.389695 4912.343614 5208.086629 5528.887160
2025-10-12 3417.846384 3820.416832 4233.906864 4689.158606 5175.129819 5677.222807 6234.029668
2025-10-19 3128.056711 3616.516878 4128.657915 4703.229754 5327.466416 5982.849636 6720.645408
2025-10-26 2901.112204 3453.045086 4041.970289 4713.151472 5452.961173 6239.817581 7136.260833
2025-11-02 2730.472011 3335.063861 3990.221428 4747.125785 5591.780392 6500.010972 7545.065351
2025-11-09 2546.687001 3189.337410 3896.127252 4723.252710 5656.938780 6671.042041 7848.526132
2025-11-16 2415.108014 3094.152407 3851.017625 4746.941038 5768.558100 6887.904929 8197.758870
2025-11-23 2262.571453 2966.343602 3761.385295 4713.251355 5809.471740 7020.797274 8448.964288
2025-11-30 2184.499879 2921.073211 3762.727507 4780.055356 5961.351386 7275.838813 8835.166557
2025-12-07 2081.771303 2841.213589 3719.257256 4790.916568 6045.668680 7451.680114 9129.760953
2025-12-14 1969.512203 2744.772154 3651.857772 4769.792375 6089.562498 7578.645423 9366.491426
2025-12-21 1839.755690 2621.543805 3547.852659 4701.127357 6074.259908 7634.513625 9519.195902
2025-12-28 1836.581461 2656.523470 3636.266211 4864.308740 6334.675238 8013.127023 10048.580549
2026-01-04 1788.092387 2632.527912 3651.573777 4938.926839 6490.313244 8270.644335 10439.380594
2026-01-11 1713.189635 2571.742457 3619.082528 4953.435642 6572.661778 8441.350042 10728.600584
2026-01-18 1641.085889 2511.579625 3584.885955 4963.698481 6648.180542 8602.769923 11006.122312
2026-01-25 1585.207196 2470.214278 3572.273120 4998.836099 6752.382126 8797.147519 11321.756334
2026-02-01 1505.160749 2393.935166 3513.096916 4974.145890 6782.320701 8902.230018 11531.440037
2026-02-08 1451.624602 2350.961856 3494.585626 4998.645034 6871.006727 9076.398971 11822.187624
2026-02-15 1375.259461 2274.291573 3430.449355 4963.801774 6885.291552 9160.363366 12005.092995
2026-02-22 1346.988439 2262.287259 3449.148983 5032.890424 7027.059026 9397.062685 12369.642030
2026-03-01 1296.302989 2217.349301 3423.336583 5044.122016 7096.291758 9545.798640 12628.982304
2026-03-08 1234.842312 2155.100233 3372.916334 5022.277190 7123.111241 9642.314570 12825.176179